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Saturday, 17 July 2004
Tenet Statement of 11 July 2003
Courtesy of Global Security, this is a link to the text of a statement issued by Director of Central Intelligence George Tenet last July. Below are some excerpts.

There was fragmentary intelligence gathered in late 2001 and early 2002 on the allegations of Saddam's efforts to obtain additional raw uranium from Africa, beyond the 550 metric tons already in Iraq.

[...]

[...]in the fall of 2002, our British colleagues told us they were planning to publish an unclassified dossier that mentioned reports of Iraqi attempts to obtain uranium in Africa. Because we viewed the reporting on such acquisition attempts to be inconclusive, we expressed reservations about its inclusion but our colleagues said they were confident in their reports and left it in their document.

[...]

In October [2002], the Intelligence Community (IC) produced a classified, 90 page National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iraq's WMD programs. There is a lengthy section in which most agencies of the Intelligence Community judged that Iraq was reconstituting its nuclear weapons program. Let me emphasize, the NIE's Key Judgments cited six reasons for this assessment; the African uranium issue was not one of them.


This is the statement in which Tenet said that the inclusion of the infamous "sixteen words" in President Bush's 2003 State of the Union Address regarding Great Britain's intelligence that Iraq had, in fact, attempted to purchase uranium from Niger, was a mistake. But it was only a mistake because it did not meet the CIA's standard of certainty, not because it was factually untrue to say that the British had evidence of such Iraqi activity.

We now know that the British were right. We now know that what the President said could have been said even more strongly. And we also know that the people who are trying to defend Joe Wilson are defending a liar with an axe to grind.

Iraq was trying to keep its nuclear weapons program alive. Remember that when you think it was a mistake for us to have invaded Iraq and removed Saddam.


Posted by Toby Petzold at 11:31 PM CDT | Post Comment | View Comments (3) | Permalink

Monday, 19 July 2004 - 12:25 AM CDT

Name: Deep Blade
Home Page: http://deepblade.net

Thanks for your recent comments at Deep Blade Journal.

On the Iraq-Niger-uranium story I have two points.

(1) The Butler report is sloppy and over-reaches when it says what became the "16 words" were reasonable.

Butler says, "The forged documents were not available to the British Government at the time its assessment was made, and so the fact of the forgery does not undermine it."

Except it does, since at least one of the two "alternate sources"--an Italian intell. briefing was based on the forgery. The other source was vaporous speculation. So we do not "know" that the Brits were right simply because the NRO and other wingnut media want to latch onto Butler's dubious conclusions.

(2) Tenet and the 2002 NIE were laughable in the attempt to judge that Iraq was "reconstituting" its nuclear program. This stuff came up after Cheney said it was so. You gonna use, "Most agencies believe that Saddam's personal interest in and Iraq's aggressive attempts to obtain high-strength aluminum tubes for centrifuge rotors" (one of the "key judgments") to try to prove this? You're nuts. Even the SSCI report demolishes the aluminum tube hypothesis found in the 2002 NIE.

I'm just amazed how wingnut media has seized on these intelligence reports as somehow justifying the inflammatory pre-war rhetoric. If you can manage to pull off this outrageous p.r. stunt, my opinion of the attention span of the American people will take a huge hit.

Tuesday, 20 July 2004 - 5:37 AM CDT

Name: Toby Petzold

There were more than just two sources for the British intellgence assessment. So one or more was based on forged docs? That doesn't mean the rest of it was bunk. In any event, what Bush said was accurate. At the time and now.

As for the aluminum tubes, I'm not an expert, so I can't judge it. But I've read in a few places that it's not much evidence of anything. So you're probably right on that. But there's no doubt that, if Bush hadn't acted and something HAD emerged from Iraq in the way of a nuclear threat, you'd be all over it.

Wednesday, 21 July 2004 - 5:01 PM CDT

Name: Deep Blade
Home Page: http://deepblade.net

The aluminum tubes were a big deal--they supposedly proved Iraq was trying to build a uranium enrichment facility, without which the yellowcake is meaningless.

Take a look at the SSCI report. Even the Republicans agree that some nameless person, let's call him "Joe Centrifuge", deliberately skewed data to fit preconceptions regarding an Iraqi nuclear threat. All the damning info is in the report, in stultifying detail.

I recommend you move a little wider out of the realm of NRO, The Weekly Standard, and FOX News a little more often. I wouldn't say those sources are intellectually bankrupt all the time (hell, I read 'em for fun and profit, they're certainly more refreshing on Kerry and his band of thieves--no, I don't much like him either--than most of the liberal blogs, eg Gilliard), but they often have less integrity than the Republican politicians for whom they carry water.

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