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Monday, 30 January 2006
"Intelligence Blunder"
Wolf Blitzer was complaining to Bill Cohen earlier this afternoon that Hamas' victory in the Palestinian elections constituted a huge "intelligence blunder." Lou Dobbs was clucking and moaning to Kitty Pilgrim about it, too, saying that it was basically incomprehensible that our intelligence sources there in Gaza and the West Bank hadn't seen Hamas' victory coming.

Well, get ahold of yourselves, morons. It was an election. An election that even Jimmy Fucking Carter says was on the level ---which means that whatever plotting and coordination that delivered such a decisive margin to the Palestinian Nazi Party was done in hundreds of thousands of individual [consciences].

And what that further means is that, yeah, we are going to blame the Car Swarm People. Individually and together. Because they chose to elect a bunch of hardline Islamist buzzkills with whom no one will work.

An "intelligence blunder." I really can't get over that. You'd think that liberal dumbasses would've gotten over their fascination with polls and numbers after about lunchtime, 2 November 2004. You know, that morning, I thought it was going to be a steady diet of crow for the next four years. But pollsters and the people who listen to them are often wrong.

Or, is the expectation that we should have known that Hamas would win so hugely by some other means?

The Palestinians themselves are still amazed and shocked and worried at what they have done.

Stop imagining that we are supposed to be omniscient, Wolf and Lou. It makes you sound childish.


Posted by Toby Petzold at 7:22 PM CST | Post Comment | View Comments (3) | Permalink
Updated: Monday, 30 January 2006 8:00 PM CST

Monday, 30 January 2006 - 9:13 PM CST

Name: Rider

The Palestinians themselves are still amazed and shocked and worried at what they have done.

What's the evidence for that exactly? I mean, yes, even the Palestinians who voted for Hamas may not agree 100% with all their statements and actions, but you make it sound like the majority of Palestinians are having second thoughts about their own votes.

Tuesday, 31 January 2006 - 6:15 PM CST

Name: TP

It's only anecdotalism, but there seems to be a lot of little indications that, if this was History's biggest protest vote, it went horribly awry. The Car Swarm People living in the West Bank don't know whether their women are going to have to start wearing the veil or whether they can still go out for a night of drinking.

It's a big problem. See what living hatred gets you? The Taliban on the Jordan.

Tuesday, 31 January 2006 - 10:38 PM CST

Name: Rider

The Palestinians already have a constitution, so that kind of change would have to come after parliamentary debate. But we keep missing the point that the average Muslim voter is more religiously-motivated than the average American.

The significant thing is that Hamas sees no religious grounds to prevent their negotiating with Israel. There are other positive signs:

"...an important study carried out by the respected International Crisis Group pointed out, [Hamas] has observed the truce far more reliably than Fatah. And Hamas' leaders have affirmed that they are willing to continue the truce if Israel refrains from aggressive violence toward them." Juan Cole in Salon.com

"Peace" may not be a real possibility under the present circumstances, but a long hudna may be doable.

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